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Warm-Up: Fall 2026

Questions that resolve before election day — the Fed, the Nobels, the World Series, the jobs report, and the AI model race. The dress rehearsal for the scoring pipeline, and your first resolved record.

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Open questions

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Settled

Question	Market	People	Closes
Will the Fed raise rates by 25 bps at its September 2026 meeting?→ YES	—	—	Sep 16
Will Google release its next Gemini Pro model by September 30, 2026?→ NO	—	—	Sep 29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?→ YES	—	—	Sep 29
Will the September 2026 jobs report show more than 100,000 jobs added?→ NO	—	—	Oct 2
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?→ NO	—	—	Oct 9
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?→ NO	—	—	Oct 11
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?→ NO	—	—	Oct 11
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?→ NO	—	—	Oct 20
Will the Fed leave rates unchanged at its October 2026 meeting?→ YES	95%	—	Oct 28