PREDICTANT
Sign inStart your record

Board

Midterms 2026

Polls, markets, people, and AI — scored side by side on the 2026 U.S. midterm elections, under rules published before election day. Questions lock at 6:00 PM ET on November 3, 2026.

24 open · 0 settled · 0 membersStart your recordRules

Open questions

QuestionMarketPeopleCloses
Will Democrats control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?75%—Nov 3
Will Democrats control the U.S. House after the 2026 midterm elections?95%—Nov 3
Will Democrats control both the Senate and the House after the 2026 midterms?74%—Nov 3
Will Republicans hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterms?56%—Nov 3
Will Republicans hold exactly 50 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?6%—Nov 3
Will Republicans hold fewer than 190 House seats after the 2026 midterms?45%—Nov 3
Will Republicans win the national popular vote for the U.S. House in 2026?0%—Nov 3
Will Democrats win the 2026 Maine Senate race?70%—Nov 3
Will Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate race?73%—Nov 3
Will Democrats win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?78%—Nov 3
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?71%—Nov 3
Will Republicans win the 2026 Iowa Senate race?49%—Nov 3
Will Democrats win the 2026 Ohio Senate special election?73%—Nov 3
Will Democrats win the 2026 North Carolina Senate race?97%—Nov 3
Will Republicans win the 2026 Georgia Senate race?4%—Nov 3
Will Republicans win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate race?6%—Nov 3
Will Dan Osborn (independent) win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race?30%—Nov 3
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California governor election?98%—Nov 3
Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin governor race?88%—Nov 3
Will Democrats win the 2026 Michigan governor race?94%—Nov 3
Will Democrats win the 2026 Georgia governor race?69%—Nov 3
Will Democrats win the 2026 Arizona governor race?95%—Nov 3
Will Democrats win the 2026 Nevada governor race?78%—Nov 3
Will Republicans win the 2026 Pennsylvania governor race?2%—Nov 3